Will Short Sales Hit Homes Sales?
For information about luxury real estate in Southern California in Los Angeles County, and coastal Orange County and San Diego, call Bob Cumming of Keystone Group Properties at 310-496-8122. Keystone Group Properties serves discriminating buyers and sellers of exclusive California properties—Newport Beach homes; Manhattan Beach to Santa Monica beach homes to exclusive Los Angeles homes in Beverly Hills and Bel Air.
Will Short Sales Hit Homes Sales?
By AnnaMaria Andriotis
Could a new government program to help distressed homeowners wipe out recent gains in home prices?
On Tuesday, the Federal Housing Finance Agency announced new guidelines that are supposed to make it easier for homeowners to sell their home in a short sale. In a short sale, a home sells for less than the borrower owes on the mortgage. In addition, the new guidelines, which kick in on Nov. 1, allow homeowners with a Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac mortgage to pursue a short sale even if they haven’t fallen behind on their mortgage payments but have a hardship, such as a job loss or divorce.
Consumer advocates say change will help some of the borrowers who’ve been unable to sell the estimated 11 million American homes worth less than the value of their mortgage, according to CoreLogic. However, not all homes would qualify in this new program.
And while the changes provide new hope to distressed homeowners, experts say they could negatively impact home prices in neighborhoods that get an influx of new short sales. A rise in short sales will result in “downward pressure on home prices until we clear out the majority of these distressed properties,” says Jack McCabe, an independent housing analyst in Deerfield Beach, Fla.
Home prices had been rising in recent months, a trend experts say is due to the limited inventory and the smaller number of distressed properties on the market. In July, median home prices were up 9.4% from a year prior, according to the National Association of Realtors. That marked the fifth back-to-back month of year-over-year increases in home prices — the longest streak since 2006. Inventory was down 24% from a year prior. And distressed sales—including short sales and foreclosures—accounted for 24% of July sales, down from 29% a year prior.
For its part, the NAR says it’s called for an expedited short sales process to help boost inventory. The FHFA says it expects short sales to settle at market prices and that they’ll help avoid foreclosures and long vacancy periods that result in declines in home values.
Still, data suggests that the impact on homeowners who aren’t in distress could be lower home values in the near term. Even if short sales fly off the market, they’ll likely go at a discounted price. According to the NAR, short sales sell at prices that are 15% lower than regular home listings on average.
Instead, the benefits for homeowners could be bigger in the long term. “It’s a better idea to clear out the backlog of distressed homes rather than delay the process in the name of supporting [home] values,” says Brad Hunter, chief economist at Metrostudy, a housing market research and consulting firm.
Santa Monica homes for sale
